Thursday, November 13, 2014

Interstellar

            Christopher Nolan’s Interstellar is the movie equivalent of a chef armed with truffles, foie gras, and Wagyu beef grinding it up into meatloaf. The film’s cast is impeccable, the practical effects stunning, and its underlying ideas about space and exploration universal. Yet the outcome is more pedestrian than revelatory. The film unravels because of an overcomplicated plot and underwhelming theme.
            Nolan, as he often does, has assembled a stellar cast. Matthew McConaughey continues his string of strong performances by playing against his hyper-masculine type. In Interstellar, he stars as Cooper, an astronaut-turned-farmer-turned-astronaut. Mackenzie Foy plays Murph, Cooper daughter, and their chemistry drives the emotional beats of the film. Nolan populates the film with actors far too qualified for their roles. Michael Caine’s NASA scientist instigates Cooper’s journey to the stars. Anne Hathaway’s Amelia, another scientist leads the NASA crew on the spaceship Endurance. Bill Irwin voices TARS, a multi-limbed robot, who helps and humors the crew during their journey to a black hole in orbit near Saturn. TARS’s relationship with Cooper is the most grounded and realistic in the entire movie. The rest of the cast includes Jessica Chastain, John Lithgow, Casey Affleck, William Devane, Ellen Burstyn, Wes Bentley, David Gyasi, Topher Grace (looking like he’s just happy to be there) and a surprise unbilled A-list actor.
            The visual effects of Interstellar are remarkable. Nolan mostly eschewed CGI in favor for practical models for his depiction of space travel. His attention to detail pays off in a number of visually striking scenes. Saturn’s rings glitter and as the Endurance approaches its date with an artificially created wormhole. The camera remains fixed as the Endurance glides through space, spinning on its axis. Never has space looked so majestic.  Nolan’s view of space is the opposite of Alfonso Cuarón in Gravity. Where Cuarón stressed the claustrophobic and deadly nature of outer space, Nolan revels in its splendor and beauty. In Gravity, death and emptiness lurked around every corner. Protective spacecraft could easily become a deadly projectile. In Interstellar space is the next stage for mankind’s achievement—challenging, but awe inspiring.
            Interstellar’s themes and plot unravel everything good about the film. It is clear that Nolan is an advocate for mankind’s continued exploration of space. Our future lies out there, the film constantly reminds us. To call his method of delivering this message heavy handed would be an understatement. In a terribly written scene, Cooper laments to his father-in-law (Lithgow) about mankind’s failure to continue its space endeavors. He laments, “We used to look up at the sky and wonder at our place in the stars, now we just look down and worry about our place in the dirt.” On a future version of Earth where ecological disaster has ruined the planet’s food supply, maybe that sentiment is understandable? Later when the film shifts to space the heavy handedness continues. With the Endurance only capable of visiting one of two planets capable of sustaining life, Hathaway’s Amelia opts for the one where her lover is. In defending her position, Amelia argues that “Love is the one thing that transcends time and space.” The power of love and importance of discovery are hardly unique or new themes.
            Further the overstuffed plot dooms these themes further. At two hours and forty nine minutes, the film radically shifts in plot making it seem like three or four movies crammed into one. Interstellar begins as a movie about an ecologically ravaged Earth, struggling for survival. With a radically reduced population mankind has become a people of Dust Bowl era farmers. With Cooper’s discovery of NASA, the film becomes about mankind’s potential salvation through a wormhole. A mission of survival soon yields to easily excised conspiracy thriller. Meanwhile back on Earth, Murph (Chastain), now fully grown, struggles to save humanity from her end. This divided focus drains the plot of momentum as it toggles back and forth between the ever changing Endurance mission and Murph’s efforts to solve the problem of extricating Earth’s population to safety. In the last act, Cooper joins the two plots together by journeying into the black and proving that love does in fact transcend time and space. Love transcends time and space? Fantastic. Glad a film studio spent 165 million dollars on that one.
            Due to his success with the Dark Knight trilogy and other films like Memento, Inception, and The Prestige, Nolan had a rare opportunity in Hollywood to make whatever movie he wanted. He put this freedom to work with dazzling visual effects and reminded us of the wonder and majesty of space.  He surrounded himself with a marvelous and overqualified cast. Instead of putting them to their best use, Nolan squandered them on a heavy handed, simplistic, and ultimately empty film. 

Saturday, November 1, 2014

Fantasy Football: Over and Underachievers

            A few weeks ago I looked at scoring leaders through week 3, this week I’m going to look at one player at each position who have either dramatically over or underperformed relative to his draft value.
Quarterbacks
Phillip Rivers
            In 2013, Rivers threw for 4,478 yards with 32 touchdowns and only 11 picks. He scored 276 fantasy points, finishing 6th among quarterbacks and 7th overall. That performance did not win Rivers much respect from fantasy owners. He was an 11th round pick and the 14th quarterback off the board sandwiched between Johnny Manziel and Eli Manning. This year, under coach Mike McCoy, Rivers has continued his stellar play. He currently sports a 68.3% completion percentage, with 2,213 yards and 20 touchdown passes against only 5 interceptions. His 160 fantasy points place him fourth among quarterbacks. If you loaded up on wide receivers and running backs early and grabbed Rivers late, it’s paying off big time.

Cam Newton
            There are several viable candidates for this spot. I considered Drew Brees, Matthew Stafford, and finally settled on Newton. Last year, Newton finished third among quarterbacks with 282 fantasy points. He passed for 3,379 yards and 24 touchdown passes. Newton’s rushing set him apart as he ran for 585 yards and six rushing touchdowns. He averaged 17.625 points per game. This year, as the Panthers have crumbled, so have Newton’s fantasy numbers. Newton was a fifth round pick and is currently stuck between fellow mid-round QB disappointments Nick Foles and Andy Dalton as the 18th highest scoring QB. He has 214 yards on the ground with only one rushing TD. His average points per game has declined to a barely playable13.25.

Running Backs
Ahmad Bradshaw
            While the Colts continue to hand Trent Richardson the ball, Bradshaw has proven to be the better NFL and fantasy running back. He has scored 101 fantasy points behind 635 all purpose yards and 8 touchdowns. He’s rushed 76 times for an average of 4.88 yards per carry. He’s also caught 31 passes for an average of 15.53 yards per catch. Currently fifth among running backs in fantasy points, Bradshaw was on average a 14th round pick and the 50th running back taken overall. Under Andrew Luck, the Colts have been one of the most prolific offenses in the league, creating scoring opportunities for players like Bradshaw. His touchdown pace is unlikely to continue, but enjoy the ride while it lasts.

LeSean McCoy
            Let’s play a game of blind resumes.


Carries
Yards
TDs
Fantasy Points
McCoy
137
505
1
58
Player B
101
358
2
58
Player C
74
251
3
58
Players B and C are the aforementioned disappointment Trent Richardson and Vikings backup Matt Asiata. McCoy was a top five pick, while Asiata went undrafted. The lack of touchdowns has killed McCoy’s value this season. In ESPN standard scoring McCoy has 4 games of single digit fantasy points. He has rushed for over one hundred yards once, against the Giants in week six. He’s still getting about twenty rushes per game, but his inability to find the endzone has caused a lot of consternation for his owners. McCoy is a reminder that you can’t win your league with the right first round pick, but you can lose it with the wrong one.

Wide Receivers
T.Y. Hilton
            Hilton has emerged this season as Andrew Luck’s favorite wide receiver target. He has scored 96 fantasy points, good for 5th among wide receivers. He leads the NFL in receiving yards with 886. The sheer volume of his receptions, tied for 3rd, make up for his only two touchdowns. Not bad for an eighth round pick and the 26th wide receiver off the board. Hilton has been especially dangerous the last five weeks. He started out slow, with 4, 6, and 8 fantasy points in Weeks 1-3. Since Week 4, however, Hilton has 10, 9, 28, 10, and 21 points. If Hilton can pick up the touchdown pace he might finish in the top 3.

Brandon Marshall
            It worked so well last time, let’s do another batch of blind resumes.


Receptions
Yards
Touchdowns
Fantasy Points
Player A
24
470
3
62
Marshall
34
385
5
62

Player A is San Diego wideout Malcom Floyd. On average, Floyd went undrafted in an ESPN standard 10 team league. Marshall was the fifth wide receiver off the board in the 3rd round. He’s currently tied with Floyd for 22nd in wide receiver scoring. Marshall has surpassed one hundred yards once this year, in week six against Atlanta’s anemic defense. He hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 4 against Green Bay. His only standout performance was in week 2 against San Francisco when he caught three touchdown passes. If you remove that game Marshall is averaging 5.71 fantasy points per game. Forget starting him, that’s not even worth owning in a standard fantasy league.

Bonus: Seattle Defense
            Every year in fantasy leagues, people draft defenses way too high. They don’t recognize (or they don’t care) that the difference between the 1st and 10th ranked defenses is extraordinarily small.  Nor are teams consistent from year to year. This year was no different. After last year’s historic performance, ESPN drafters fell in love with the Seattle defense. They were drafted on average at the top of the 5th round, right between Matthew Stafford and running back Frank Gore. This year, the Seahawks D has scored 38 fantasy points, tied for 17th. The top three defenses, the Dolphins, Lions, and Bills were 16th, 17th, and 15th defenses drafted on average. Rather than waste a middle round pick on a defense, take somebody like Ahmad Bradshaw or T.Y. Hilton.

Saturday, October 25, 2014

The 2014 Saints

            In 2013, following the return of head coach Sean Payton and the arrival of new defensive coordinator, Rob Ryan, the New Orleans Saints posted a record of 11-5. In the playoffs, they beat the Philadelphia Eagles 26-24 before falling 23-15 to the Seattle Seahawks in the divisional round. The Saints had Super Bowl aspirations entering 2014. Despite being tight against the salary cap, they resigned tight end Jimmy Graham to a four year deal and brought in safety Jarius Byrd from the Bills to bolster their defensive backfield. The moves indicated that the Saints wanted to win another Super Bowl before the end of quarterback Drew Brees’s career.
            Currently the Saints’s record is 2-4, second in the NFC South. Three of their losses have been by a combined six points. In games decided by six points or fewer the Saints are 1-3. Some of this poor record is simply bad luck—a play or two goes the other way in any of the Atlanta, Cleveland or Detroit games and suddenly the Saints are 5-1. But luck isn’t the sole reason for the Saints poor record through seven weeks. In order to understand where the Saints have faltered this year, we need to dig a little deeper. So let’s start with their average production on drives (courtesy of Football Outsiders).

Saints Drive Statistics


Yards/Drive
Points/Drive
Plays/Drive
LOS/Drive
Offense
41.86 (1)
2.48 (7)
6.81 (1)
22.73 (31)
Defense
37.20 (29)
2.53 (30)
6.47 (29)
25.45 (9)

The Saints offense has managed the most yards and plays per drive in the NFL. Yet they are only seventh in points. Brees’s seven interceptions (more on turnovers later) have contributed to this lower than expected scoring output. They have also suffered from lousy field position, 31st in the league. It’s great to have lots of plays and yards, but it’s hard to convert them into points if you have to traverse the field much farther than your opponents. And most importantly, for every long drive the offense manages to string together, the defense gives it right back. Saints opponents are nearly matching the offense in terms of production. Think of it this way, this year the Saints offense has played against itself on the other sideline. It’s hard to win a lot of games that way.

SAINTS ON OFFENSE

            While it would be easy to place the blame for the Saints poor start solely on the defense, there’s more to the story than that. So let’s go deeper on the Saints offense.

Saints Overall Offense 2013 vs. 2014


Points/Game
Yards/Game
Adj. Sack Rate
Offensive DVOA
Pass DVOA
Run DVOA
2013
25.9 (10)
399.4 (4)
5.3% (4)
16.0% (5)
35.9% (3)
-5.3% (19)
2014
25.8 (10)
437 (2)
2.9% (2)
11.8% (7)
18.3% (15)
10.2% (2)

            At first glance, the Saints offense seems to be humming along as usual. They’re scoring at almost an identical rate as last season. They’re even averaging more yards per game. The offensive line has kept Brees off his back, allowing sacks on only 2.9% of his dropbacks. Even their overall offense according to DVOA (explained here) is similar to last season. Yet when we look closer at their passing and running games, a disturbing trend begins to emerge. The passing game that has terrorized opponents since Sean Payton and Drew Brees arrived in New Orleans has declined significantly from last season.

Saints Passing Offense


Yards/Game
Plays of 20+ Yards
Average 20+ Yard Plays/Game
Yards per Reception
2013
307.4 (2)
67
4.1875
11.6 (14)
2014
314 (2)
18
3
10.8 (25)
           
            The Saints offense is producing similar yards per game, but the decline stems from the lack of big plays down the field. Over the Payton-Brees partnership the Saints have always relied on a balance of short passes to their running backs and wide receivers and deep throws down the field. The short passes function as an extension of their running game. They get the ball to their pass catchers in space and pick up chunks of yardage. Downfield passes prevent teams from stacking the line of scrimmage and smothering the short passing game. This season the Saints have largely lacked that deep threat. Their average number of plays 20+ yards downfield has fallen dramatically and consequently so has their average yards per reception. Without the threat of quick score on a long pass, the Saints cannot generate the big scoring plays that build leads and create extra possessions.

SAINTS ON DEFENSE

Saints Defense 2013 vs. 2014


DVOA
Pass DVOA
Run DVOA
Points per Game
Run Yards per Game
Adj. Sack Rate
3rd Down Conversions
2013
-5.8% (10)
-9.2% (6)
-1.5% (20)
19.0 (4)
111.6 (19)
8.6% (4)
34.7% (9)
2014
17.7% (32)
39.3% (30)
-8.6% (16)
27.5 (28)
103.2 (11)
3.6% (29)
46.3% (26)

The Saints’ defensive decline has been staggering. A quick look at DVOA reveals where the Saints defense has gone wrong this year. The Saints front four has generated little pressure on the quarterback as evidenced by their atrocious adjusted sack rate. Pass rushers Cameron Jordan and Junior Gallette have failed to build on their breakout from last year. The inability to pressure the quarterback has exacerbated the problems in the defensive backfield. The Saints pass defense is similarly woeful. Last year the defense allowed 194.1 passing yards per game, second in the league. This year, they rank 28th with 270.5 yards per game. The defensive backs have been especially burned by opponents’ number one receivers, allowing 108.2 yards per game compared to only 48.6 last year. Part of this problem has stemmed from poor play by the defensive backs. Opposing offenses have repeatedly picked on defensive backs Patrick Robinson and Corey White. Robinson and White both played extensively last season, but with the departure of Malcolm Jenkins, Jabari Greer, and Roman Harper have been called on to play a bigger role in the defense. So far they haven’t been up to the task. The season ending injury to Jarius Byrd has only worsened the problem. Byrd’s coverage skills were supposed to meld well with second year safety Kenny Vaccaro’s run defense. Bad defensive backs are especially deadly in Rob Ryan’s defensive system.

Rob Ryan Defenses by DVOA


DVOA (rank)
Pass DVOA (rank)
Run DVOA (rank)
2004 OAK
11.5% (26)
29.2% (30)
-4.6% (15)
2005 OAK
1.9% (20)
13.1% (27)
-8.5% (14)
2006 OAK
-8.0% (8)
-16.1% (4)
-1.6% (17)
2007 OAK
5.7% (20)
-1.3% (13)
11.9% (32)
2008 OAK
3.7% (19)
-0.1% (13)
6.7% (28)
2009 CLE
16.4% (30)
27.1% (28)
5.4% (30)
2010 CLE
1.7% (18)
4.6% (18)
-1.1% (22)
2011 DAL
0.4% (16)
8.5% (20)
-10.9% (8)
2012 DAL
6.7% (23)
16.2% (25)
-4.1% (19)
2013 NO
-5.8% (10)
-9.2% (6)
-1.5% (20)

            Over his career as a defensive coordinator, Ryan has predicated his defenses against stopping the run. By focusing on stopping the run, Ryan likes to put his opponents in third and long situations, forcing them to pass. In those situations, Ryan can rely on his defensive creativity to confuse opposing quarterbacks and force them to make mistakes. As part of his defensive game planning, Ryan, like his brother, features what is called an “amoeba defense” (it’s also known as a “psycho front”). Here’s a picture of it below.


            This picture is from the first game of the 2013 season. The amoeba relies on confusing the opposing quarterback by keeping the defenders moving around, disguising who will rush the quarterback and who will drop into coverage. Only one Saints defender (defensive end Cameron Jordan) has his hand on the ground—the traditional stance for rushing the passer. Everyone else is standing and able to either rush or drop back depending on the play call. While the amoeba defense can be quite effective in confusing opposing quarterbacks (the Ryan brothers have had success against Brees, Brady, and Manning using it), it is high risk and high reward. The amoeba is particularly susceptible to run plays and screen passes. In the above situation, the Saints dare the Falcons to run the ball. They have few defenders in position to stop the run at the line of scrimmage. Screen passes are also effective because they get the ball out of the quarterback’s hands quickly and away from the constantly moving defenders. The amoeba is also less successful when the other components of the defense: the pass rush, defensive backs are less successful. In order for the amoeba to be successful, the defense needs to force their opponents into disadvantageous situations.

TURNOVERS


INT
Fumbles
Total
Offense
7
4
11
Defense
3
1
4
Turnover Differential


-7

The Saints have lost the turnover battle this season. Some of that is due to bad luck. The Saints defense has forced four fumbles, but only recovered one of them. Meanwhile opponents have forced five fumbles and recovered all of them. Additionally Brees has thrown more interceptions than usual. His TD/INT ratio this year is 1.57, well below his career average of 2.03. Even worse is that Saints opponents have turned six of those seven INTs into touchdowns. Some of this turnover luck should even out. The Saints should recover a few more fumbles and their opponents will recover a few less.

Overall, the Saints season has been a combination of poor play and bad luck. The luck should even out, but the poor play will determine if the Saints can make a run in the weak NFC South. 

Sunday, October 12, 2014

Liam Neeson Movie Marathon

            Last weekend, my wife, Casey, and I decided to open a bottle of wine and watch some mindlessly entertaining movies. The bottle of wine, a Malbec called Layer Cake, had chocolate cake on the label—too bad the label was the best part of the wine. For mindless entertainment, we chose two Liam Neeson movies, Taken 2 and Nonstop. Taken 2 proved mostly a sluggish bore, while Nonstop was a ludicrous and entertaining thriller.    
            I am an unabashed fan of the first Taken. I first watched it at my parents’ house when my brother had ordered it from Netfix (remember when you used to get discs from Netflix?).  The first half hour was laborious, but necessary for establishing the plot. It portrayed Neeson’s Bryan Mills as a man with a special set of skills and tried to convince the audience that Maggie Grace (playing Neeson’s daughter Kim) could pass as a sixteen year old girl. Once Kim gets kidnapped the film kicks into high gear. It surges forward as Neeson’s Mills swiftly and ruthlessly does whatever is necessary to find his daughter. Along the way he destroys a trailer park brothel, shoots up a building full of Eastern European human traffickers, interrupts a high end party by shooting its host, and finally kills a boatful of men protecting the Arab sheik who bought his daughter. Note the not so subtle reveal of how the sexual exploitation of women transcends social class.  In the end, Mills saves his daughter and goes home happy. Taken is not an intellectually or morally complex movie, rather it’s an action movie that for the last hour remembers why we like action movies in the first place. Neeson propels the plot from each escalating set piece by unabashedly displaying his determination and desire to get his daughter back.
Taken 2 sputters around by focusing too much on Bryan Mills’s family life.  Maggie Grace is 32 and ten years ago played a teenage girl on Lost. Yet the film begins by insisting that Kim is now only old enough to be taking her driver’s test. There’s also Bryan still pining for his ex-wife, her crumbling marriage, and Kim’s new boyfriend. Eventually the film shifts to Istanbul where the patriarch of the Eastern European traffickers from the first film has sworn revenge. Unfortunately, the patriarch (I’m not sure he’s even given a name) spends much of the film driving around Istanbul, issuing orders, and mumbling about getting revenge for scumbag son. The action scenes drag as well. Rather than using the set pieces to build towards a climatic confrontation, the film divides its time between two finales. First Kim must help save Bryan from his kidnappers. She casually tosses grenades, deftly avoids her kidnappers, and demonstrated Formula One level driving skills as she navigates a stick-shift cab through Istanbul. The second half features Bryan hunt down the patriarch only to have him give up without a fight. What should have been an uncomplicated action sequel instead became burdened down by the useless baggage from the first film.

            Nonstop fulfilled all the hopes I had for Taken 2. Neeson plays a former NYPD officer turned air marshal who receives a death threat from a passenger. 150 million dollars in twenty minutes or a passenger dies. The plot then barrels forward as Neeson searches for the culprit. His paranoia builds along with the body count. Overqualified actors surround Neeson at every turn, lending an air of seriousness and sincerity to a ludicrous airplane thriller. The pilot is Batman’s dad! The stewardesses are Lady Mary from Downton Abbey and Patsey from 12 Years a Slave. Four time Oscar nominee Julianne Moore plays Neeson’s seatmate. Character actor Corey Stoll also portraying a cop, lends credence to the passengers who question and resist Neeson’s actions. As Neeson struggles with his own past—his daughter died and he was a terrible father—the plot propels ludicrously forward as friends become enemies, enemies become friends, and around and around it goes. The film’s ostensible point is about post 9/11 complacency about airline safety, but theme and logic don’t matter here. The filmmakers deliver a satisfying and physically impossible climax as Neeson shoots the bad guy while the plane crashes around him. The film’s fun comes from watching Neeson and the rest of the talented cast unravel the insanity around them.  

Friday, September 26, 2014

Fantasy Football Observations

            I like fantasy football—a lot. I enjoy drafting players, researching the weekly matchups, and agonizing over my lineup. Basically it’s an excuse to use my brain for sports—something I started doing a long time ago once I figured out that I would never play them well… or at all. So this my first post on fantasy football, I have no idea if I’ll do more, but we’ll see how this goes.

            This post will look at the top ten players at each position (according to ESPN standard scoring), relative to their draft position. I have broken it down by the three most important positions in fantasy: quarterback, running back, and wide receiver. A couple of caveats before we proceed, it’s only been three weeks so small sample size warnings apply. Those small sample sizes, however, can be important in fantasy, especially if you started out 0-3.  

Quarterbacks


Points
Draft Position
1. Andrew Luck-IND
74
4
2. Peyton Manning-DEN
63
1
3. Matt Ryan-ATL
62
12
4. Jay Cutler-CHI
58
19
5. Nick Foles-PHI
57
10
6. Russell Wilson-SEA
55
8
7. Philip Rivers-SD
54
14
8. Drew Brees-NO
49
3
9. Aaron Rodgers-GB
46
2
9. Colin Kaepernick-SF
46
7

            Brees and Rodgers have underperformed relative to their draft position, but I think they’ll get better as the season progresses. The Matt Ryan-Philip Rivers-Jay Cutler trio represent the biggest surprises among the quarterbacks so far. All were drafted outside of the top ten and behind guys like Cam Newton, Robert Griffin, and Matthew Stafford. Cutler, the 19th QB taken in drafts, went between Joe Flacco and Ryan Tannehill. Similarly ESPN drafters took Johnny Manziel ahead of Phillip Rivers. I believe that all three will finish inside the top ten of fantasy quarterbacks at the end of the season. Cutler has injury issues, but has cut down significantly on his interceptions. He also throws to Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey. Last season, Ryan endured a season from hell as the Falcons collapsed from 13-3 to 4-12. In 2012, Ryan has Julio Jones and to a lesser extent Roddy White back from injury. In 2012, Rivers produced a QBR of 41.5. In 2013, under new coach Mike McCoy, he bounced back to 71.7. That improvement has continued this season.

Running Backs 


Points
Draft Position
1. Marshawn Lynch-SEA
59
3
2. Demarco Murray-DAL
54
9
3. Le’Veon Bell-PIT
48
10
4. Giovanni Bernard-CIN
48
15
5. Rashard Jennings-NYG
46
21
6. Ahmad Bradshaw-IND
42
50
7. Darren Sproles-PHI
40
34
8. Knile Davis-KC
38
54
9. Alfred Morris-WAS
36
12
10. Chris Ivory-NYJ
35
39

            The running back position so far has been a mess. Seven out of the top ten drafted players have disappointed for a variety of reasons. Jamaal Charles, Arian Foster, and Doug Martin have struggled with injuries. Eddie Lacy has endured some brutal matchups. Matt Forte and LeSean McCoy have underwhelmed and the less said about Adrian Peterson, the better. Knile Davis replaced Charles in Kansas City, but only has value if Charles is injured. Sproles and Jennings’s numbers are inflated by otherworldly Week 2 and Week 3 performances. I believe the most in Ahmad Bradshaw. He has played well in place of the perpetually ineffective Trent Richardson. He can also catch passes out of the backfield. With a quarterback as good as Andrew Luck, Bradshaw should have plenty of opportunities going forward.

Wide Receivers 


Points
Draft Position
1. Julio Jones-ATL
51
6
2. Antonio Brown-PIT
48
9
3. Jeremy Maclin-PHI
46
26
4. Calvin Johnson-DET
44
1
5. Jordy Nelson-GB
39
7
6. Kelvin Benjamin-CAR
36
46
7. Allen Hurns-JAC
36
40
8. Dez Bryant-DAL
35
4
9. Steve Smith-BAL
34
41
10. Brandon Marshall-CHI
33
5
10. Julian Edelman-NE
33
23
10. DeAndre Hopkins-HOU
33
37


            The wide receivers, like the quarterbacks, have been relatively stable. Guys like Jones, Brown, Nelson, Johnson, Bryant, and Marshall have justified their high draft spots. Meanwhile Demaryius Thomas and A.J. Green have underperformed relative to last year’s performances. The biggest surprises are Jeremy Maclin, Kelvin Benjamin, Allen Hurns, and DeAndre Hopkins. Maclin has replaced Desean Jackson as the number one wide receiver in Chip Kelly’s offense—whether he can stay healthy remains to be seen. With no options other than tight end Greg Olson, Kelvin Benjamin has become a favorite option of Cam Newton. Hurns’s high ranking is the product of a twenty two point first week, when no one played him anyway. I believe the most in DeAndre Hopkins. The second year wide receiver has 13 catches out of 19 targets for 2 TDs and 227 yards.